Since the beginning of 2016, Indian stock markets have fallen close to 7%. Overall they have fallen ~ 20% from their highs of 2015. What’s intriguing about this stock market correction is not the pace at which it has happened but the fact that no other asset class has done well during this period. What’s…
Stock Market
Power Sector Stocks : Deep Value or Junk Buying?
There is a shortage of power in the country – there is excess power available with power producers – consumers have the capacity to pay – distribution companies (i.e. State Electricity Boards (SEBs)) can’t afford to buy power! THE PROBLEM Concession Agreements Over the past 2-3 decades projects were awarded to power companies with clearly…
Nifty 50 Companies – List & Sector-wise Weightage
Here is a breakdown of the 50 companies which constitute the CNX Nifty. Over the last decade, while sectoral weight-age has remained largely similar, the constituent companies have constantly changed. NSE has made the following changes in the composition of Nifty 50 index effective from April 1, 2017. Removed: BHEL Idea Cellular Added: Indian Oil Corporation…
What To Do When Stock Prices Are Expected to Fall?
Something about human behavior stops all of us from making a decision to sell a thing in loss, no matter how deep are losses keep growing. Equally, greed for a few rupees more is what keeps the gambler going. When it comes to stocks, the best of us behave no different. Exactly 3 months back,…
Identifying Stock Market Bubbles
A few years back a friend of mine recounted his experience of working at a hedge fund from its inception in 2005 to its fall in 2008. The fund which crossed U.S. $ 1 billion at one point dropped in value to below U.S. $ 300 million in less than 4 months towards the end…
Stock Market Predictions for the Long Term
I have lost count of the number of times I have been asked about the ‘target price’ and ‘nifty levels’. Some of you have written to me about adding a target price column in the subscription section of the site. The omission to add such a column is deliberate. While I love writing my long…
How To Prepare For The Next Stock Market Crash?
One year ago I did a detailed research on Sensex target for the year 2020 (full article here). In that research, I studied the growth of the Sensex over the last 24 years and analyzed where we could end up in the year 2020. At that time, the Price Earnings multiple for the Sensex as…
Does Luck Play A Role In Stock Investing?
Courtesy of one of my well connected friends from Delhi, yesterday I got an opportunity to meet one of the most renowned astrologers in India. Legend has it that a former prime minister was a regular at his office. Before I write about my meeting, let me admit that I am somewhat of a reluctant…
How Are Stock Prices Determined?
Today I will try to answer a question which I received from one of our subscribers. Vijay asked – “How are stock prices determined? I mean, why would a stock like Bosch trade at Rs. 26000+ while Noida Toll Bridge would trade at Rs. 35? Does it purely depend on how many shares are ‘in…
How is a Stock Market Index Constituted
Note: The explanation below is based the basis of inclusion of stocks in the BSE Sensex and the Nifty 50. Composition of a stock market index such as the S&P BSE Sensex (“Sensex”), S&P Nifty 50 (“Nifty”), the Bank Nifty etc is not constant. You must have come across a news item like – “NMDC…
How Do Circuit Breakers Work in The Stock Markets?
In the simplest language possible – a circuit breaker or circuit filter signifies the maximum that a stock (or the market as a whole) could rise or fall before trading in that specific stock (or in the market as a whole) is halted for a certain duration of time. Once a circuit breaker is applied,…
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Many people look at the share market as a place for legalized gambling, where every morning people place bets and win or lose small or big amounts of money. The Honest Truth is that this is exactly what seems to be happening for many of them. At least until they get tired of betting. When you sign…